We got the answer this morning, when the CBRT (and it new head) announced that it slashed the benchmark 1-week repo rate by a whopping 425bps, from 24% to 19.75%, almost double the 250bps consensus expectation of a Bloomberg survey, due to “a moderate recovery in the economic activity.”
In the first trading hour after big rate cut, the market was indecisive about next move. But now USD/TRY is rely on bullish trendline, which could be considered as a strong support. Rate cut is obviously bullish for USD/TRY, but anything can happen. The important will be the next 3-10 tradings days, where is the big probability of new trend building up.
This article can NOT be considered as a trading advice.